{"id":78816,"date":"2024-10-17T18:26:03","date_gmt":"2024-10-17T18:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pdfstandards.shop\/product\/uncategorized\/asce-9780784406724-2005\/"},"modified":"2024-10-24T19:38:13","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T19:38:13","slug":"asce-9780784406724-2005","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/pdfstandards.shop\/product\/publishers\/asce\/asce-9780784406724-2005\/","title":{"rendered":"ASCE 9780784406724 2005"},"content":{"rendered":"
Walter Wunderlich introduces readers to the field of probability theory and its applications in engineering.<\/p>\n
PDF Pages<\/th>\n | PDF Title<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6<\/td>\n | Contents <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
20<\/td>\n | 1. Maintenance of the Infrastructure 1.1 The Role of Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
22<\/td>\n | 1.2 Probabilistic Methods in Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
27<\/td>\n | 1.3 Areas of Maintenance Activity 1.3.1 General Maintenance Objectives 1.3.2 Maintenance of Structural Integrity <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
28<\/td>\n | 1.3.3 Maintenance of System Operation <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
29<\/td>\n | 1.3.4 Maintenance Aimed at Incipient Failure Mechanisms <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
32<\/td>\n | 1.3.5 Hazard Ratings <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
34<\/td>\n | 1.4 State of the Infrastructure 1.4.1 Historical Perspective of the Water Infrastructure <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
35<\/td>\n | 1.4.2 Dam Inventory <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
42<\/td>\n | 1.4.3 Dam Inspection Findings 1.4.4 National Infrastructure Assessment <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
47<\/td>\n | 1.4.5 Dam Incidents and Failures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
51<\/td>\n | 1.5 Regulations and Guidelines in Support of Maintenance 1.5.1 Government Regulations <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
53<\/td>\n | 1.5.2 BUREC’s Safety Evaluation of Existing Dams <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
57<\/td>\n | 1.5.3 Designer Legacies for Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
58<\/td>\n | 1.5.4 Standing Operating Procedures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
59<\/td>\n | 1.5.5 Review of Operation and Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
60<\/td>\n | 1.5.6 FERC Project Engineering Guidelines <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
63<\/td>\n | 1.5.7 Maintenance Activities of the USACE <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
64<\/td>\n | 1.5.8 Maintenance Activities of the TVA <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
66<\/td>\n | 1.6 Probabilistic Maintenance Perceptions of Field Personnel 1.6.1 Survey of Maintenance Personnel <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
67<\/td>\n | 1.6.2 Selected Survey Questions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
76<\/td>\n | 1.6.3 Features Desired by Maintenance Personnel <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
78<\/td>\n | 2. Elements of Probabilistic Methods 2.1 Sets, Events, and Probabilities 2.1.1 Sets <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
82<\/td>\n | 2.1.2 Events and Probabilities <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
91<\/td>\n | 2.1.3 Probabilities of Ordinary Sets <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
98<\/td>\n | 2.1.4 Conditional Probabilities <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
104<\/td>\n | 2.1.5 Bayes’ Formula <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
118<\/td>\n | 2.1.6 Murphy’s Law <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
119<\/td>\n | 2.2 Probabilistic Variables and Functions 2.2.1 Probabilistic Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
122<\/td>\n | 2.2.2 Probabilistic Functions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
123<\/td>\n | 2.2.3 Probabilistic Processes <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
133<\/td>\n | 2.2.4 Probabilistic Models <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
138<\/td>\n | 2.3 Mean and Variance 2.3.1 Population Mean <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
140<\/td>\n | 2.3.2 Population Variance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
141<\/td>\n | 2.3.3 Coefficient of Variation <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
142<\/td>\n | 2.4 Calculating with Expectations and Variances 2.4.1 Individual Data Versus Expectation as Input <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
145<\/td>\n | 2.4.2 Variance of Linear and Nonlinear Relations <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
146<\/td>\n | 2.4.3 Variance of a Sum or Difference <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
148<\/td>\n | 2.4.4 Sample Mean and Sample Variance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
155<\/td>\n | 2.4.5 Confidence Bands <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
157<\/td>\n | 2.4.6 Chebyshev Inequality <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
160<\/td>\n | 2.5 Probability Functions 2.5.1 Probability Density Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
161<\/td>\n | 2.5.2 Cumulative Distribution Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
164<\/td>\n | 2.5.3 Moments of the Random Variable <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
166<\/td>\n | 2.6 Gaussian Probability Density Function 2.6.1 Derivation of the Probability Density Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
171<\/td>\n | 2.6.2 Cumulative Distribution Function and Reliability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
182<\/td>\n | 2.6.3 Dispersion of the Probability Density Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
186<\/td>\n | 2.6.4 Polynomial Approximation and Inversion of the cdf <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
192<\/td>\n | 2.6.5 Judgmental Establishment of the pdf <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
195<\/td>\n | 2.6.6 Quality Control Based on the pdf <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
197<\/td>\n | 2.7 Other Probability Distributions 2.7.1 Selected Distributions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
198<\/td>\n | 2.7.2 Binomial Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
210<\/td>\n | 2.7.3 Uniform Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
213<\/td>\n | 2.7.4 Triangular Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
215<\/td>\n | 2.7.5 Exponential Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
218<\/td>\n | 2.7.6 Beta Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
222<\/td>\n | 2.7.7 Poisson Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
228<\/td>\n | 2.7.8 Weibull Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
235<\/td>\n | 2.7.9 Student’s t-Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
244<\/td>\n | 3. Calculating with Random Variables 3.1 Prediction 3.1.1 Prediction of a Random Variable <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
252<\/td>\n | 3.1.2 Prediction Using Least Squares <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
259<\/td>\n | 3.1.3 Prediction Using a Stochastic Model <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
264<\/td>\n | 3.1.4 Prediction Using an Autoregressive Model <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
266<\/td>\n | 3.1.5 Joint Distribution of Two Normal Random Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
268<\/td>\n | 3.1.6 Conditional Distribution of a Random Variable <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
269<\/td>\n | 3.2 Transformation of a Random Variable 3.2.1 Linear Transformation <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
274<\/td>\n | 3.2.2 Logarithmic Transformation <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
282<\/td>\n | 3.3 Arithmetic with Random Variables 3.3.1 Sum and Difference of Random Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
291<\/td>\n | 3.3.2 Sum and Difference of Normal Random Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
295<\/td>\n | 3.3.3 Product of Random Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
298<\/td>\n | 3.3.4 Quotient of Random Variables <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
299<\/td>\n | 3.4 Sampling Distributions 3.4.1 Distribution of the Sample Mean <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
301<\/td>\n | 3.4.2 The Central Limit Theorem <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
311<\/td>\n | 3.4.3 Sampling the Uniform Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
317<\/td>\n | 3.4.4 Testing the Sampling Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
321<\/td>\n | 3.4.5 Testing the Normal Approximation by Regression <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
323<\/td>\n | 3.5 Reliability 3.5.1 Reliability and Unreliability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
325<\/td>\n | 3.5.2 Reliability Criteria <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
328<\/td>\n | 3.5.3 Reliability Assessment <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
334<\/td>\n | 3.6 Hazard Function and Related Functions 3.6.1 Derivation of the Hazard Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
336<\/td>\n | 3.6.2 Relations Among Probability Functions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
338<\/td>\n | 3.6.3 Mortality Rates <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
347<\/td>\n | 3.6.4 Failure and Survival Probabilities and Expectations <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
358<\/td>\n | 3.7 Probability and Return Periods 3.7.1 Probability Assignment by Data Ranking <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
360<\/td>\n | 3.7.2 Return Periods <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
362<\/td>\n | 3.7.3 Partial-Duration Series and Return Period <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
372<\/td>\n | 3.7.4 Seasonal Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
374<\/td>\n | 3.7.5 Interarrival Times <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
376<\/td>\n | 3.7.6 Earthquake Probabilities and Return Periods <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
381<\/td>\n | 4. Probabilistic Approach to Systems 4.1 The System as an Assembly of Components 4.1.1 Probabilistic Nature of Systems <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
383<\/td>\n | 4.1.2 System Disaggregation <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
386<\/td>\n | 4.1.3 Combinations and Permutations <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
389<\/td>\n | 4.1.4 The k-out-of-n System <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
391<\/td>\n | 4.2 System Structure 4.2.1 Serial and Parallel Systems <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
397<\/td>\n | 4.2.2 Structure Functions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
401<\/td>\n | 4.2.3 Hydrosystems as Mixed Systems <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
405<\/td>\n | 4.3. System Reliability Functions 4.3.1 System Reliability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
406<\/td>\n | 4.3.2 k-out-of-n Reliability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
416<\/td>\n | 4.3.3 Reliability of Serial Systems <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
422<\/td>\n | 4.3.4 Reliability of Parallel Systems <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
424<\/td>\n | 4.4 Redundancy 4.4.1 System Redundancy <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
428<\/td>\n | 4.4.2 Component Redundancy <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
430<\/td>\n | 4.4.3 Comparison of System and Component Redundancy <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
433<\/td>\n | 4.5 Cut Sets and Tie Sets <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
438<\/td>\n | 4.6 Standby <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
442<\/td>\n | 5. Probabilistic Maintenance Concepts 5.1 Maintenance Options <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
443<\/td>\n | 5.2 Maintenance Management <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
446<\/td>\n | 5.3 Reliability-Centered Maintenance (RCM) <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
448<\/td>\n | 5.4 Maintenance Times 5.4.1 Corrective Maintenance Time 5.4.2 Preventive Maintenance Time <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
451<\/td>\n | 5.4.3 Downtime <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
453<\/td>\n | 5.4.4 Downtime Distribution <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
456<\/td>\n | 5.4.5 Maximum Downtime <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
457<\/td>\n | 5.4.6 Expected Cycle Time <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
460<\/td>\n | 5.5 Availability 5.5.1 Availability Under Corrective Maintenance 5.5.2 Availability Under Preventive Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
462<\/td>\n | 5.5.3 Transient and Steady-State Availability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
463<\/td>\n | 5.5.4 Expected Availability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
464<\/td>\n | 5.5.5 Availability and Reliability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
466<\/td>\n | 5.6 Maintainability 5.6.1 Maintainability Measures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
468<\/td>\n | 5.6.2 Accessibility <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
469<\/td>\n | 5.7 Maintenance Strategy 5.7.1 Maintenance as Interference with a Random Process <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
470<\/td>\n | 5.7.2 Maintenance Actions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
473<\/td>\n | 5.7.3 Event Tree as Decision Aid <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
474<\/td>\n | 5.7.4 Examples of Successful and Failed Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
477<\/td>\n | 5.8 Economy of Maintenance 5.8.1 Benefit-Cost Analysis <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
490<\/td>\n | 5.8.2 Probabilistic Benefit and Cost Streams <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
495<\/td>\n | 5.8.3 Corrective Maintenance Economy <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
498<\/td>\n | 5.8.4 Preventive Maintenance Economy <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
502<\/td>\n | 5.8.5 The Economy of Premature Demise <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
508<\/td>\n | 5.9 Maintenance Scheduling Methods 5.9.1 Critical Path Method (CPM) <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
509<\/td>\n | 5.9.2 Project Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
512<\/td>\n | 6. Risk in Maintenance 6.1 Nature of Risk 6.1.1 Definition of Risk <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
515<\/td>\n | 6.1.2 Types of Risk <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
520<\/td>\n | 6.1.3 Hazard and Risk 6.1.4 Attitude Toward Risk <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
521<\/td>\n | 6.1.5 Risk Perception <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
523<\/td>\n | 6.2 Risk Transfer 6.2.1 The Principle of Insurance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
527<\/td>\n | 6.2.2 Types of Insurance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
533<\/td>\n | 6.2.3 Insurable and Uninsurable Risk <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
536<\/td>\n | 6.2.4 Habitual Risk and Self-Insurance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
538<\/td>\n | 6.2.5 Effect of Insurance on Financial Position <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
542<\/td>\n | 6.2.6 Liability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
543<\/td>\n | 6.2.7 Professional Liability Insurance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
545<\/td>\n | 6.2.8 Surety <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
546<\/td>\n | 6.2.9 Liability Risks in the Deteriorating Infrastructure <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
548<\/td>\n | 6.3 Risk Management 6.3.1 Elements of Risk Management <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
552<\/td>\n | 6.3.2 Event-Consequence Relationships <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
556<\/td>\n | 6.3.3 Risk Management in Maintenance <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
557<\/td>\n | 6.3.4 Risk Control <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
564<\/td>\n | 6.3.5 Risky Decisions <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
568<\/td>\n | 6.4 Objective Risk Evaluation 6.4.1 Variance and Standard Deviation as Risk Measures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
570<\/td>\n | 6.4.2 Decision by Hypothesis Testing <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
580<\/td>\n | 6.5 Subjective Risk Evaluation 6.5.1 Personal Probability <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
581<\/td>\n | 6.5.2 Subjective Risk Measures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
587<\/td>\n | 6.5.3 Utility Function <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
590<\/td>\n | 6.5.4 Utility Function\u2014Related Risk Measures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
595<\/td>\n | 6.6 Risk Evaluation Example 6.6.1 Dam Rehabilitation Analysis <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
600<\/td>\n | 6.6.2 Evaluation of Alternatives <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
606<\/td>\n | 6.6.3 Subjective Risk Measures <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
609<\/td>\n | 6.6.4 Benefit-Cost Analysis <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
614<\/td>\n | 6.6.5 Discussion of Results <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
619<\/td>\n | 6.7 Concluding Remarks <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
622<\/td>\n | Glossary A B <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
623<\/td>\n | C <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
624<\/td>\n | D <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
626<\/td>\n | E <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
627<\/td>\n | F <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
628<\/td>\n | G H I <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
629<\/td>\n | J L <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
630<\/td>\n | M <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
631<\/td>\n | N O P <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
633<\/td>\n | Q R <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
635<\/td>\n | S <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
638<\/td>\n | T <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
639<\/td>\n | U V W <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
642<\/td>\n | References <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
660<\/td>\n | Index A B C D <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
661<\/td>\n | E F <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
662<\/td>\n | G H I J K L M <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
663<\/td>\n | N O P Q R <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
664<\/td>\n | S T <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | ||||||
665<\/td>\n | U V W <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Hydraulic Structures<\/b><\/p>\n |